Crime in Galesburg
by Mike Kroll
It is
commonly believed that crime is on the increase, that our persons and our
belongings are less safe today than in the past. However, data collected annually by the FBI tells a
different story, both locally and nationally. Nationally the FBI reports that
between 2006-2007 property crime
decreased 1.4 percent and violent crime decreased 0.7 percent. The 10-year
national trend (comparing 2007 with 1998) presented a 10.1 percent drop in
property crime and a 37.2 percent decrease in violent crime.
And local
trends in Galesburg tell pretty much the same story according to data provided
by Galesburg Police on reported crimes over the last 38 years. The general
local trend is a decrease in crime, in many cases significantly so. However,
the number of police calls is up reflecting an increasing incidence of minor or
petty crimes being reported. The Galesburg police do not maintain readily
available data on the numbers of such minor crimes and as city officials have
recently directed an increasing emphasis on such offenses making time
comparisons difficult if not meaningless on such offenses and they are not
covered here.
One aspect
of the relatively low incidence of many reported crimes is that a change of
only one or two incidents can skew trend data in murders, for example. To
combat misinterpretation we have grouped Galesburg crime data into decade
summaries covering the past 38 years, the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s and 2000-2007. In
each grouping the average number of reported incidents of each offense category
is shown in the accompanying table along with the 38 year mean and the highest
and lowest annual numbers.
The
decrease in criminal activity is particularly true with regard to property
crimes. For example, over the past 38 years (1970-2007) Galesburg has seen an
average of 357 burglaries per year but between 2000-2007 we have averaged only
272 burglaries annually. The local peak year for burglaries was 1981 when 701
burglaries were reported to Galesburg police. Theft or larceny is also down as
is motor vehicle theft. The crime of burglary from a motor vehicle was not
separately tracked before 1991 but it too is down. Interestingly, arson is also
down but it has only been tracked separately since 1980, coincidently when it
hit its peak locally. Note that while Theft merely involves stealing someone
else's property Burglary requires that the thief break into a building or
vehicle to accomplish the theft.
In violent
crime we have actually seen a significant increase in Aggravated Battery. Over
the last eight years Galesburg averaged nearly 97 Aggravated Batteries annually
compared to a 38 year average of only 56 with a whooping 141 such reports in
2004. Also up slightly is Aggravated Assault, a category only tracked
separately since 1991. These are ÒaggravatedÓ because a weapon of some kind was
involved as opposed to a fist fight between two unarmed persons which is
considered a far less serious crime. The difference between ÒassaultÓ and
ÒbatteryÓ is how far the incident escalates. ÒAssaultÓ is the treat to injure
or harm while actually carrying out that threat and striking the victim
converts the offense into Òbattery.Ó
While this
year saw an unusually high profile murder in Galesburg that crime is a
comparative rarity, as it should be. Between 2000-2007 we experienced an
average of less than one murder annually while over the past 38 years the
average was 1.24 murders per year. That overall average reflects the peak of
murders in 1993 when seven people were killed. During the past eight years half
had no murders at all while over the past 38 years 16 years were murder-free in
Galesburg.
Robbery, or
stealing from a person using threat of force, has been relatively stable over
time and slightly down the past eight years. Galesburg's peak year for
robberies was 1975 when 41 were reported, nearly twice the 38 year average.
Given the troubled local economy is is somewhat of a surprise that burglary,
theft and robbery haven't seen a increase and all were higher during the 1980s
after the closure of OMC and Galesburg Mental Health.
Another
violent crime that is unfortunately trending upward is criminal sexual assault.
Between 1990-2007 we averaged almost 16 incidents per year, twice the rate
during the 1980s and four times the reported incidence of the 1970s. It is
unclear whether rape is that much more common or whether this reflects a
combination of higher likelihood of reporting such crimes or of them being
properly classified as sexual assaults rather than simple assaults.
The data
also does not include most domestic abuse cases that typically do not get
reported as felonies but rather misdemeanors or are not reported at all.
Significant amounts of local police time is devoted to less serious crimes that
are not included in this report, including many comparatively trivial matters.
But overall crime in Galesburg does not appear to be nearly the problem that
many perceive it to be and this data certainly does not support increasing the
number of Galesburg Police officers as some city council members have
suggested.
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